Quantitative methods

Compare the primary strengths and weaknesses of cost-benefit analysis (CBA), cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA), and cost-utility analysis (CUA). Give your opinion on which method you believe to be the most effective in economic evaluation.Using the umbrella decision-making example on page 198 of the textbook, suppose the probability of rain is 0.6, the ruined clothes cost is $30, and the lost umbrella costs are $2. Come to a decision based upon these assumptions, and determine the break-even probability of rain.Table 10-5 Revenues, Expenses, and Expected Payoffs for Clinic RenovationAlternativeState of the world (future demand forecasts)EarningsRenovation expensePayoffNo Renovation/Do Nothing20$450,0000$450,000No Renovation/Do Nothing20$450,0000$450,000No Renovation/Do Nothing20$450,0000$450,000Minor Renovation20$450,000$225,000$225,000Minor Renovation35$787,500$225,000$562,500Minor Renovation35$787,500$225,000$562,500Major Renovation20$450,000$700,000($250,000)Major Renovation35$787,500$700,000$87,500Major Renovation50$1,125,000$700,000$425,00010-2In the clinic renovation example, what if management thinks that the likelihood of current demand remaining is 30%, the likelihood of a moderate increase is 25%, and the likelihood of a large increase is 45%? What should they do, according to the expected total payoff?

 

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